Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Polymarket · 53d ago
SettledBUY NO · $0.76
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
91%
P(NO)
NO
Superforecaster
9%
Key Factors
- Only 124 posts with ~1.5 days remaining - need 56 more for 180 minimum
- Current pace of ~22/day projects to ~157 total, well below 180
- Weekend/Monday morning remaining - typically lower posting volume
- No major catalysts or events identified to drive surge
- Market at 23% appears to overweight historical base rate vs current trajectory
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total