Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in March?
Polymarket · 54d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.96
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
97%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
3%
Key Factors
- Only 1.3 days remaining with no scheduled direct contact
- Iran has explicitly denied any direct negotiations with Trump
- Trump references unnamed officials, not Pezeshkian specifically
- All communications have been through intermediaries (Pakistan, Qalibaf)
- Pezeshkian has not acknowledged any Trump communication
- Market is fairly priced at ~4% - no meaningful edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total