Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?

“Bitcoin has recently demonstrated the capability to reach and exceed the $72,000 mark, peaking near $73,000-$74,000 in mid-March before consolidating, indicating its potential to recover to this level.. Historical volatility data suggests that significant price movements, including a ~9% rise in two days, are not unprecedented for Bitcoin. The average daily price change from 2018-2022 was 2.87% (absolute value), and 20-30% pullbacks are common in bull cycles without full reversals, implying that a recovery to $72,000 is within historical norms..”

“Statistical improbability: An 8.2% increase in 48 hours requires a ~1.8 to 2.0 standard deviation upward move (assuming standard 60-70% annualized volatility), which mathematically carries a probability of less than 4%.. Misleading bull statistics: The bull cites an 'average daily price change of 2.87% (absolute)' to justify the move, but conflates absolute volatility with directional drift. Two consecutive +4% days or a single +8% day are statistical tail events, not average occurrences..”