Will the median home value in New York City be between $570,000 and $575,000 on April 1?
Polymarket · 53d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.94
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
94%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
6%
Key Factors
- Resolution source is unspecified/cut off — critical unknown
- Most major NYC home value metrics are well above $575k
- Narrow $5k band makes exact hit unlikely even if value is nearby
- No major economic shocks to cause sudden price drops
- Wide spread ($0.108) makes trading expensive relative to edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total