Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 8?
Polymarket · 46d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.83
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
88%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
12%
Key Factors
- ECCC forecast is 5°C, not 4°C
- Sunny conditions reduce temperature variability
- 1°C gap between forecast and target bucket center
- 2-day forecast horizon introduces some uncertainty
- Historical April 8 highs tend to be higher than 4°C
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total