Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 9?
Polymarket · 46d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.87
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
87%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
13%
Key Factors
- Environment Canada forecast of 14°C high
- 3-day forecast uncertainty SD ~2.5°C
- 15°C bin is 1°C wide requiring precise outcome
- Market price of 14% aligns with forecast-based probability
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total