Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 7?
Polymarket · 48d ago
RejectedREJECTED NO · $0.89
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
91%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
9%
Key Factors
- April climatological average high at Changi is 32.4°C — well above 30°C
- MSS forecasts 33-35°C for April 1-15, suggesting warmer-than-average conditions
- Thundery showers could occasionally suppress highs but rarely to 30°C
- Market at 11% is close to estimated 9% — no significant edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total