Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on April 8?

“A Western Disturbance is forecast to peak on April 7-8, bringing overcast skies, rain, thunderstorms, and gusty winds (30-50 kmph) over Uttar Pradesh, which will actively suppress high temperatures on April 8.. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has confirmed recent below-normal maximum temperatures, with a reported 33.4°C on an early April date representing a -0.9°C departure from normal, indicating an ongoing trend of cooler weather..”

“Base rate extreme: The historical average April high in Lucknow is 37-38°C. Highs below 30°C are exceptionally rare, occurring in less than 5% of historical April days.. Forecast contradiction: The bull ignores that specific forecasts for April 8 predict a rebound to 38°C (sunny). Even the IMD's 'cooler' forecast for the western UP plains projects maximums of 32-34°C, which is 3-5°C above the target..”