Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 9?

Polymarket · 47d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.78
Reasoning

Agent Consensus

86%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
14%
Key Factors
  • LAX April climatological mean ~67-68°F
  • Transitional day between cool mid-week and warm late-week
  • Marine layer influence
  • 2°F bin width limits probability
  • 3-day forecast uncertainty spreads distribution

Analysis

2 agents · 0.0s total