Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on April 8?
Polymarket · 46d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.88
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
88%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
12%
Key Factors
- Cold front recently passed, suppressing highs to low 70s on April 6-7
- April 8 is in transition period — warming expected but may not be complete
- Climatological average high is ~79°F, making 74-75°F below normal
- Narrow 2-degree band inherently limits probability
- Lack of specific point forecast for April 8 increases uncertainty
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total