Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 8?
Polymarket · 47d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.79
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
83%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
17%
Key Factors
- Narrow 2°F temperature bin makes any specific outcome unlikely
- April average high ~78°F with ~6°F standard deviation
- Cold front on April 4 may suppress highs into mid-70s
- 3 days of forecast uncertainty remain
- Resolution based on KAUS (Bergstrom) not Camp Mabry
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total