Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 2?
Polymarket · 51d ago
SettledBUY NO · $0.90
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
96%
P(NO)
NO
Superforecaster
4%
Key Factors
- Multiple forecast sources predict 63-73°F, well below 78-79°F target
- 1-2 day weather forecasts are quite reliable with typical errors of 3-5°F
- 78-79°F is a narrow 2-degree band requiring precise temperature
- Even the most optimistic forecast (73°F) is 5°F below the target range
- Short time to expiry means forecast skill is high
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total