Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Polymarket · 55d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.97
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
100%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
0%
Key Factors
- Only 1.8 days remain until deadline
- ISW maps show no confirmed Russian advances into Kostyantynivka as of March 28
- Ukrainian forces actively defending and repelling infiltrations
- Historical urban advance rate of 15-70m/day makes capture in 2 days virtually impossible
- No signs of imminent Ukrainian collapse in this sector
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total