Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

“Russian forces have already infiltrated Hryshyne and are actively contesting the center and northern sections, per Ukrainian sources (May 25). This means Russia has a foothold and momentum, not a starting-from-zero advance.. Pokrovsk, ~3.5 km to the southeast, is under Russian control and serves as a staging base, providing short logistics lines and continuous infantry waves into Hryshyne (multiple waves per day reported)..”

“The bull's core premise is structurally weak: a foothold is not equivalent to imminent full-map capture on ISW. This market requires the entirety of Hryshyne to be shaded red, which is a stricter threshold than 'contesting the center' or 'infiltrated groups present.' If Ukrainian sources on May 25 still describe room-by-room clearing in the center, then Russia was at least short of uncontested control there with less than three days left.. The bull appears to rely on a likely fabricated or internally inconsistent claim about Pokrovsk. The research itself cites an ISW-based claim that as of November 26, 2025 Russia had only consolidated advances in about 66% of Pokrovsk and had not fully seized it, yet later the bull states Pokrovsk 'is under Russian control' and is a secure staging base. That may be true by May 2026, but the provided research does not cleanly substantiate it from ISW in the way asserted. More importantly, even if Russia controls Pokrovsk, nearby staging proximity does not guarantee full municipal capture within 2.7 days under drone-saturated attritional fighting..”