Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of March?
Kalshi · 53d ago
RejectedBUY YES · $0.90
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
99%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
99%
Key Factors
- NFLX trading at ~$93.43, 56% above the $60 threshold
- Would require unprecedented ~36% decline in 1-2 trading days
- No negative catalysts identified; earnings not until April 16
- Recent positive news (price increases) and bullish analyst consensus
- Historical base rate for such extreme short-term declines in large-cap stocks is <0.1%
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total