Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

“The target range of 240-259 tweets over 8 days requires an average of 30-32.4 tweets per day, which is significantly below Elon Musk's historical daily averages, making it a plausible outcome for a period of reduced activity.. While his March 2026 average through March 29 was approximately 41 tweets per day, his posting rate slowed to 22-25 tweets daily from March 28-29, and averaged 20 posts per day over the March 28-30 period, demonstrating his capacity for lower daily tweet counts within the specified window..”

“Duration Miscalculation: The bull bases their math on an '8-day window' requiring 30-32.4 tweets per day. However, March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3 12:00 PM ET is exactly 7 days (168 hours). To hit 240-259 tweets, Musk actually needs an average of 34.2 to 37.0 eligible tweets per day.. The Reply Exclusion: The market explicitly states 'Replies will NOT count towards the total.' The bull cites total monthly tweet averages (e.g., 1,240 in March), which historically include replies. Replies typically constitute a massive portion (often 50%+) of Musk's activity. If the cited daily figures include replies, his eligible post count is drastically lower, making 240-259 virtually impossible..”