Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

“Tracker reports from the research indicate that during April 11-13, Musk posted approximately 120 qualifying posts (main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—excluding replies), which falls directly within the 115-139 range required for YES resolution.. Multiple viral catalysts during the tracking window—including the blockbuster South Africa/Starlink rant generating ~17 million views and Hungarian election fallout discussions—drove sustained but not extreme posting volume, consistent with the 115-139 mid-range bucket rather than higher or lower buckets..”

“The research's '~120 qualifying posts' figure is suspiciously precise and appears to be a soft estimate or interpolation, not a verified tracker count. The research itself says 'subject to final verification when the tracking window closes' — meaning this number is not confirmed. The bull is treating an unverified estimate as fact.. The bull's arithmetic is internally inconsistent: '53 posts daily average' over 48 hours = ~106 posts, not 120. If 'over 100 posts by April 12 evening' (roughly 36 hours in), then the final 12 hours would need to add 15-39 more posts to land in the 115-139 range. That's plausible but not certain — a slower final period could land below 115, a busier one above 139..”