Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

“The gap between Alphabet ($4.662T) and Apple ($4.565T) is only ~$97B, or about 2.1% — well within the range of normal daily volatility for either stock. With Apple stock having reached a record high on May 24, 2026 on iPhone 17 momentum, a 2-3% relative move in Apple's favor over the final trading days is entirely plausible.. Apple has strong fundamental tailwinds heading into the resolution date: Counterpoint Research confirmed iPhone 17, 17 Pro, and 17 Pro Max were the three highest-selling phones globally in Q1 2026, with 14% YoY sales growth in the first 10 days in the US and China — a genuine catalyst that drove Apple to a record high on May 24, 2026..”

“The bull's core setup is already backward: per the provided research, Apple is NOT currently second-largest; Alphabet is ahead by about $97B. So YES requires a reversal in just ~3 days, not mere maintenance. When a contract asks who is second at a specific close, starting from behind materially lowers YES odds versus a symmetric 'close race' framing.. Much of the research used to support the bull is weak or likely fabricated. The document contains extensive [UNVERIFIED] claims presented with false precision: probabilities like 68.3%/63.7%/72.4%, analyst-rating splits, institutional flow figures, historical frequencies of ranking changes, and expert quotes from Mary Meeker/Andrew Ng/Fei-Fei Li are not actually verified in the packet. Those should be discarded rather than treated as evidence for a bullish rebound..”