US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

“The US Navy already has two destroyers (USS Frank E. Peterson DDG-121 and USS Michael Murphy DDG-112) actively operating in the Strait of Hormuz as of April 11, conducting mine-clearing operations. Admiral Brad Cooper stated they would 'share this safe pathway with the maritime industry soon to encourage the free flow of commerce,' suggesting commercial escort is a logical next step that could happen within days.. The market requires only an official ANNOUNCEMENT that the US will escort, is escorting, or has escorted a commercial ship — not that the escort has been completed. A single press release or CENTCOM statement announcing intent to escort commercial vessels would suffice for resolution, and such announcements can happen with zero advance notice..”

“The market is already priced at $0.05 YES / $0.95 NO with only 1.4 days remaining — this is a highly liquid market ($906K volume) with sophisticated participants who have access to the same information. The market's strong NO signal reflects informed consensus, not ignorance.. The April 11 destroyer transit was explicitly NOT a commercial escort — CENTCOM's own statement confirms it was a mine-threat assessment operation. Admiral Cooper's statement about 'sharing a safe pathway soon' is forward-looking and vague, not an announcement of escort operations. The bull is conflating mine-clearing preparation with commercial escort, which are legally and operationally distinct for resolution purposes..”