Sweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket · 53d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.57
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
58%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
42%
Key Factors
- UEFA WCQ base rate of 48.3% Over 2.5 adjusted down for knockout context
- Sweden missing Isak and Kulusevski severely limits attacking output
- Both teams have elite strikers (Gyokeres, Lewandowski) providing goal threat
- High-stakes knockout matches historically trend under
- Market price aligns with my independent estimate — no edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total