Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket · 54d ago
SkippedSKIP YES · $0.39
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
42%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
42%
Key Factors
- Bookmaker -2.25 line at 2.06 odds implies ~45-48% for that cover, translating to ~40-45% for -2.5
- Spain are Euro 2024 champions playing at home, recent 3-0 vs Serbia
- Friendly context means squad rotation and reduced intensity
- Egypt have decent recent form and counter-attacking ability
- Small sample sizes make base rate estimates uncertain
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total