Spread: Cuiabá EC (-1.5)
Polymarket · 51d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.49
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
62%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
38%
Key Factors
- Research analyzed wrong match entirely — very low confidence in any estimate
- Base rate for home team covering -1.5 in Serie B is typically 25-40%
- Market at 51% seems somewhat high for a -1.5 spread without strong evidence of Cuiabá dominance
- No data on Londrina EC form or Cuiabá EC senior team form available
- Wide spread ($0.10) and low liquidity suggest thin market
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total