Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5
Polymarket · 46d ago
RejectedBUY NO · $0.84
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
90%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
10%
Key Factors
- Combined scoring average of ~2.7 goals per match makes 5+ goals unlikely
- Poisson model with lambda=2.7 gives ~8.6% probability of 5+ goals
- Both teams have solid defensive records (Millwall 1.13, Norwich 1.18 conceded)
- Championship league average of 2.50 goals per match is well below 4.5 threshold
- FanDuel odds imply ~16% for Over 4.5, consistent with market pricing
- Historical H2H average of 3.26 goals still well below 4.5 threshold
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total