Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
Polymarket · 47d ago
SkippedSKIP NO · $0.88
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
82%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
18%
Key Factors
- Market expiring in hours - match likely already played
- Price moved from 50-50 to 83% NO suggesting informed trading
- Cannot independently verify the match result
- Very low liquidity ($47) and huge spread ($0.33) make trading unattractive
- A priori base rate is 50-50 but market signal dominates near expiry
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total