Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
Polymarket · 52d ago
SkippedSKIP YES · $0.08
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
10%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
10%
Key Factors
- Base rate for odd/even in CS2 regulation is ~50/50, not skewed to even as research claims
- Market at 92% NO with 0.2 days left likely reflects match-specific information
- Cannot verify if match has been played - critical missing information
- Low liquidity and volume suggest thin market that could be mispriced OR correctly reflecting known outcome
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total