Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
Polymarket · 54d ago
SkippedSKIP YES · $0.88
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
89%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
89%
Key Factors
- Bookmaker O/U line at 3.5 implies ~86% probability of over 1.5 via Poisson
- Germany scored 4 goals in their last match (4-3 vs Switzerland)
- Ghana conceded 5 goals in their last match (1-5 vs Austria)
- International friendly base rate for over 1.5 is ~70.8%
- Key injuries on both sides (Musiala, Kudus, Partey) slightly reduce scoring potential
- Market is well-priced at 88% — no meaningful edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total