Frosinone Calcio vs. Calcio Padova: O/U 4.5
Polymarket · 48d ago
RejectedBUY NO · $0.76
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
90%
P(NO)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
10%
Key Factors
- Serie B base rate for over 4.5 is very low (~5-10% historically)
- Expected total goals ~2.9 based on team averages
- Head-to-head historically low-scoring (1-0 most recent)
- Padova poor away form and defensive injuries but also low scoring output
- Frosinone strong at home but likely to control game tempo
- Poisson model with lambda=2.9 gives ~10-15% for 5+ goals
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total