FC Lorient leading at halftime?

“FC Lorient has a strong home halftime record, winning 61.5% of their home matches at halftime this season (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in 13 home matches). This is significantly higher than their away halftime performance.. The match is scheduled to be played at Lorient's home stadium, Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir, which provides a home-field advantage and makes their strong home halftime statistics more relevant..”

“Regression to the mean: Lorient's overall record is 9-8-10 (a 33% full-time win rate). A 61.5% home halftime lead rate over just 13 games is a massive statistical anomaly that is mathematically unsustainable for a mid-table team, especially given their current slump (3 losses in last 5 games, 0-5 Against The Spread).. Critical structural injuries: Lorient is missing their starting goalkeeper (Leroy), a key midfielder (Abergel), and a forward (Mohamed). The bull's reliance on season-long historical data completely ignores that Lorient is fielding a severely depleted starting XI..”