Evo Morales arrested by May 31?

“An active, reissued arrest warrant from the Tarija court exists alongside a formal rebellion declaration, national arraigo (travel ban), asset annotation, and account freeze — meaning ANY encounter with police, checkpoint, or border post during the 6-day window legally triggers immediate detention (Rio Times, Al Jazeera May 12).. Bolivia is in acute crisis: mass protests, blockades cutting off La Paz, four reported deaths, and President Paz publicly accusing Morales of instigating destabilization — creating strong political incentive for Paz to decapitate the protest movement by arresting its symbolic leader, especially since his conservative government's authority is being directly challenged..”

“The bull's core claim confuses legal authorisation with operational probability. An active warrant means arrest is legally permissible, not likely within 5.9 days. Morales has reportedly remained unarrested for months despite prior legal exposure, which is strong evidence that execution—not paperwork—is the bottleneck.. The bull's 'any police encounter triggers detention' framing is structurally weak because it assumes exposure. The central fact pattern is the opposite: Morales has reportedly avoided public appearances since January and is likely being intentionally shielded by loyal networks. If he is not moving through normal checkpoints or public venues, the existence of arraigo and checkpoints adds little marginal arrest probability over six days..”