England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
Polymarket · 53d ago
SkippedSKIP YES · $0.75
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
76%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
76%
Key Factors
- Base rate of 70.8% for friendlies over 1.5 goals
- England-Japan H2H: 3/3 over 1.5 (small sample)
- 8 England player withdrawals disrupting squad
- Pre-World Cup friendly may see cautious approach
- Harry Kane expected to play; both teams quality attackers
- Bookmaker over/under 2.5 line near even implies ~2.3-2.5 expected goals
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total