Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
Polymarket · 46d ago
RejectedREJECTED YES · $0.76
Reasoning
Agent Consensus
77%
P(YES)
SKIPPED
Superforecaster
77%
Key Factors
- Championship season Over 1.5 base rate: 75.7% (362/478 games)
- Derby's combined expected goals ~2.73 per match (above threshold)
- Derby chasing playoffs at home = attacking motivation
- Both teams scored in most recent matches
- H2H slightly lower scoring but tiny sample size
- Market price (76%) closely aligned with base rate — no meaningful edge
Analysis
2 agents · 0.0s total